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RAPPORT

Can private markets boom if public markets bust?

Markets are cyclical, and let’s face it, they can’t inflate forever.

Markets are cyclical, and let’s face it, they can’t in ate forever. Since the last economic downturn, private equity (PE) has seen record-setting growth. The industry’s assets under management (AUM), which include unspent “dry powder” and the unrealized value of current investments, have grown more than 80% over this time period, reaching roughly $2.7t. Throughout, the industry has become increasingly resilient to challenges in the macroeconomic environment (indeed, thriving despite a global nancial crisis).

So, is PE more or less prepared for a public market collapse this time around?

In the following pages, we outline the fundraising, investment and exit imperatives for PE. We also provide a comparison of the 2007 and 2017 data and an analysis of the trends that inform this guidance. While there are some similarities to 2007, PE as a sector has undergone a significant transformation. This evolutionary tale might not reveal when the peak of the present cycle will be reached, but it provides important perspectives about where it might be headed and how rms can remain relevant in an increasingly complex and competitive environment.

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