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RAPPORT

The 2018 Ageing Report:

Economic and Budgetary Projections for the EU Member States (2016-2070)

The sustainability of public finances in the EU can be better monitored and safeguarded if its analysis
banks on reliable and comparable information on possible challenges, including the expected strains
caused by the demographic changes ahead.

For this reason, the ECOFIN Council gave a mandate to the Economic Policy Committee (EPC) to
produce a new set of long-term budgetary projections by 2018, on the basis of new population projections
to be provided by Eurostat.

The EPC and the Commission services (Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs - DG
ECFIN) agreed on a work programme with broad arrangements to organise the budgetary projections and
reach an agreement on its assumptions and methodologies to discharge this mandate (see the overview of
the projection exercise for details).

The long-term projections show where (in which countries), when, and to what extent ageing pressures
will accelerate as the baby-boom generation retires and as the people in the EU are expected to live longer
in the future. Hence, the projections are helpful in highlighting the immediate and future policy
challenges for governments posed by projected demographic trends. The report provides a very rich set of
information at the individual country level which covers a long time-span (until 2070), compiled in a
comparable and transparent manner.

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